Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.050109 0.059456 0.069953 0.082600 0.097408 0.114183 0.134613
2025-04-20 0.036204 0.048336 0.063527 0.083875 0.110346 0.143540 0.188239
2025-04-27 0.027978 0.040973 0.058682 0.084430 0.120739 0.169915 0.241337
2025-05-04 0.022559 0.035693 0.054901 0.084784 0.129806 0.194730 0.294977
2025-05-11 0.018926 0.032036 0.052417 0.086039 0.139650 0.221211 0.353862
2025-05-18 0.016554 0.029760 0.051441 0.089107 0.152243 0.252901 0.424197
2025-05-25 0.013646 0.025982 0.047310 0.086222 0.154586 0.268467 0.470628
2025-06-01 0.011773 0.023632 0.045129 0.086144 0.161345 0.291684 0.532039
2025-06-08 0.010098 0.021318 0.042594 0.084940 0.165771 0.311186 0.589070
2025-06-15 0.009108 0.020140 0.041945 0.087058 0.176387 0.342623 0.670713
2025-06-22 0.007934 0.018368 0.039848 0.086011 0.180758 0.362982 0.734076
2025-06-29 0.006835 0.016549 0.037356 0.083757 0.182354 0.378111 0.788969
2025-07-06 0.005817 0.014744 0.034655 0.080748 0.182192 0.390151 0.840039
2025-07-13 0.005282 0.013966 0.034071 0.082244 0.191726 0.422823 0.936744
2025-07-20 0.004754 0.013103 0.033153 0.082840 0.199356 0.452389 1.030338
2025-07-27 0.004279 0.012283 0.032200 0.083198 0.206465 0.481591 1.126375
2025-08-03 0.003910 0.011672 0.031653 0.084433 0.215734 0.516504 1.238747
2025-08-10 0.003670 0.011364 0.031818 0.087447 0.229614 0.563259 1.382795
2025-08-17 0.003192 0.010286 0.029809 0.084613 0.228800 0.576115 1.450213
2025-08-24 0.002888 0.009658 0.028904 0.084537 0.234886 0.605851 1.560590
2025-08-31 0.002578 0.008951 0.027662 0.083354 0.237946 0.628590 1.656525
2025-09-07 0.002414 0.008673 0.027596 0.085434 0.249912 0.674583 1.814587
2025-09-14 0.002169 0.008077 0.026501 0.084406 0.253299 0.699290 1.921722